YES
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY YES
ALL
Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 3rd?
Current odds
Live · updates every 20sNO
0%
PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY NO
Price history
OPEN 24H
0.96
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes
Market stats
Polymarket · CLOB24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$4k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$393
Available to trade
Recent trades
Last 10 fills · live| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resolution rules
From Polymarkethttps://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KDCWASHI185/table/2021-11-03/2021-11-03/daily
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours
About this market
ContextThis market will resolve to “Yes”, if the level of solar radiation as measured by The Washington Post weather station on November 3rd at 11:59 AM ET is equal to or higher than 500 (watts/m²) and ""No"" otherwise. The resolution source for this market is https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KDCWASHI185/table/2021-11-03/2021-11-03/daily, under the table column titled “Solar” for the day of November 3, 2021. Data recorded for 11:59 AM ET will be used to resolve the market. The check will be at 3:00 PM ET, November 3.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.
FAQ
Resolution & tradingHow is this market resolved?+
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KDCWASHI185/table/2021-11-03/2021-11-03/daily
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Nov 3, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.