Prediction HFT
MIDDLE EAST
Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

MARKETS3
CLOSESDec 31, 2025 ยท 10:00 PM UTC
CONTRACT0x2df9โ€ฆ6c8d
EVENT VOLUME
$291
MARKETS
3
LIQUIDITY
$28k
CONTRACT
0x2df9โ€ฆ6c8d

Markets in this event

3 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
$250k
VOL
โ†’
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
$176k
VOL
โ†’
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
$13k
VOL
โ†’

Event activity

Across all 3 markets
24H VOLUME
$291
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$440k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$28k
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2025 ยท 10:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 3 markets. Each market settles independently โ€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.