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Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021?

Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021?

RESOLVESSep 1, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEca.usembassy.gov

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWYESNO
OPEN 24H
0.01
Yes
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

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24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$18k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$258
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Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
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Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://ca.usembassy.gov/travel-restrictions-fact-sheet/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether fully vaccinated Canadian citizens will be permitted to cross into the United States through the land borders for non-essential travel by September 1, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET. This market will resolve “Yes” if according to the resolution source, fully vaccinated Canadian citizens are permitted to cross into the United States for non-essential travel purposes (e.g. sightseeing, recreation, gambling, or attending cultural events in the United States) through the shared land borders by the resolution date, and “No” otherwise. This market will resolve "No" if the United States announces that non-essential travel through the land borders is permitted for Canadian citizens, but is not implemented before the resolution date. The resolution source will be https://ca.usembassy.gov/travel-restrictions-fact-sheet/, which is the US embassy’s webpage on COVID-19 related travel restrictions across the US border with Canada. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://ca.usembassy.gov/travel-restrictions-fact-sheet/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Sep 1, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.