Prediction HFT
ALL
Will Emin Gun Sirer or Do Kwon have more Twitter followers on February 12th, 2022?

Will Emin Gun Sirer or Do Kwon have more Twitter followers on February 12th, 2022?

RESOLVESFeb 12, 2022 ¡ 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEtweetdeck.twitter.com

Current odds

Live ¡ updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOW100¢EMIN GUN SIRERDO KWON
OPEN 24H
0.96
Emin Gun Sirer
HIGH 24H
0.99
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.93
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Emin Gun Sirer

Market stats

Polymarket ¡ CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$650
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$500
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills ¡ live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
tweetdeck.twitter.com
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on whether Emin Gün Sirer (@el33th4xor) or Do Kwon (@stablekwon) will have a larger Twitter follower count for February 12, 2022, 12:00:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Emin Gün Sirer" if the Twitter account for Emin Gün Sirer, whatever its @ is on the resolution date, (presently at @el33th4xor), has a higher follower count than Do Kwon's Twitter account (presently @stablekwon) when checked on February 12, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET. If Do Kwon's Twitter account has a higher follower count than Emin Gün Sirer's on the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Do Kwon". The resolution source for this market will be each Twitter account's follower count according to tweetdeck.twitter.com at the resolution time. However other credible sources, including the follower count available on each account's official Twitter page, will also suffice. If one Twitter account is deactivated on the resolution date and the other remains online, this market will resolve as the active Twitter account. If both Twitter accounts are deactivated on the resolution date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If both Twitter accounts have an equal number of followers this market will resolve to 50-50. Additional Market Information: - To see the official cumulative tweet count on the resolution source, search the resolution source for the @el33th4xor or @stablekwon Twitter account, and check the cumulative numbers of tweets under the “TWEETS” field. - Neither any authorized user of the accounts in question need to be the author of any such tweets, nor must any authorized user maintain control of the account.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
tweetdeck.twitter.com
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Feb 12, 2022 ¡ 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Emin Gun Sirer (100%), Do Kwon (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.