Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022?

If the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications Network (SWIFT Network) disconnects or otherwise restricts any Belarusian institution(s) in accordance with sanctions by April 30, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If any banks or institutions based in the Republic of Belarus are disconnected from SWIFT in accordance with sanctions and later reconnected, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If SWIFT announces it will be disconnecting any Belarusian banks or institutions in accordance with any sanctions but those sanctions go into effect after the resolution date for this market, the announcement will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SWIFT (https://www.swift.com/about-us/legal/compliance-0/swift-and-sanctions), however other credible reporting may be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.