
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 8.0% or more in April?
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Resolution rules
From PolymarketAbout this market
ContextThis is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the Eurostat (HICP), from April 2021 to April 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union annual inflation in April 2022 is 8.0 percent or more and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-euro-indicators. The next release of HICP inflation rate with full data for April 2022 is scheduled for May 18, 2022. Note, that this market is about inflation for all European Union Member States, not only the Euro zone (states using €). The Inflation dashboard for the Euro zone can be viewed here: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/macroeconomic_and_sectoral/hicp/html/index.en.html
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Resolution
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.