What are the odds of "Yes" for "Will a rookie QB win during wildcard weekend?"?

Currently 100% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

What are the odds of "No" for "Will a rookie QB win during wildcard weekend?"?

Currently 0% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

Will a rookie QB win during wildcard weekend?

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

YES

100%

PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY YES

PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY NO

Price history

OPEN 24H

0.96

Yes

HIGH 24H

0.99

at 11:42 ET

LOW 24H

0.93

at 02:18 ET

CHANGE

+0.04

+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB

24H VOLUME

—

Past 24 hours

TOTAL VOLUME

$5k

Since creation

LIQUIDITY

—

Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live

TIME	SIDE	PRICE	SIZE	VALUE	TRADER

About this market

Context

This market refers to Wildcard Weekend of the 2025 NFL Playoffs This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Denver Broncos win their game against the Buffalo Bills OR the Washington Commanders win their game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If either of these game is postponed past January 18, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, and it is still possible for either the Broncos or the Commanders to win their respective games, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be official information from the NFL.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading

How is this market resolved?+

The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.

When does this market close?+

Trading closes at Jan 12, 2025 · 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.

What are the possible outcomes?+

The possible outcomes are: Yes (100%), No (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.

What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+

If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.

How do I trade on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.