Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election?

This is a market on who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election. The second round of the election is scheduled to take place on June 6, 2021. The brackets for this market are: “Keiko Fujimori”, and “Pedro Castillo”. This market will resolve to “Keiko Fujimori” if Keiko Fujimori is elected president, or “Pedro Castillo” if Pedro Castillo is elected president. If for any reason neither Keiko Fujimori nor Pedro Castillo are elected president, this market will resolve to 50:50. This market will resolve on the earliest date that there is a definitive winner of the 2021 Peruvian Presidential election. To resolve this market, the MIC will consult official Peruvian government sources (e.g. https://www.gob.pe/presidencia/#alta-direccion) as well as consensus among credible media reports about the winner of the election. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.