TRUMP PRESIDENCY
Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?
Markets in this event
18 markets Β· sorted by volume
Will Trump nominate Mike Pompeo for Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$89k
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Mike Waltz for Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$74k
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Tom Cotton for Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$46k
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Christopher Miller for Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$45k
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Robert OβBrien for Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$41k
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Mike Gallagher for Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$34k
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Joni Ernst for Defense Secretary?Yes 0%No 100%
$23k
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate another person for Defense Secretary?Yes 100%No 0%
$2k
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Thomas Massie for Defense Secretary?Yes 50%No 50%
β
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Person B for Defense Secretary?Yes 50%No 50%
β
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Person C for Defense Secretary?Yes 50%No 50%
β
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Person D for Defense Secretary?Yes 50%No 50%
β
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Person E for Defense Secretary?Yes 50%No 50%
β
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Person F for Defense Secretary?Yes 50%No 50%
β
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Person G for Defense Secretary?Yes 30%No 70%
β
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Person H for Defense Secretary?Yes 50%No 50%
β
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Person I for Defense Secretary?Yes 50%No 50%
β
VOL
β
Will Trump nominate Person J for Defense Secretary?Yes 50%No 50%
β
VOL
β
Event activity
Across all 18 markets24H VOLUME
β
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$353k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$2
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis is a market on who Donald Trump will appoint as his Defense Secretary.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jun 30, 2025 Β· 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 18 markets. Each market settles independently β you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.