Prediction HFT
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Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on December 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)?

Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on December 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)?

RESOLVESDec 9, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC
SOURCEcoingecko.com

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

Price history

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢00:0006:0012:0018:00NOWCARDANOSOLANA
OPEN 24H
0.01
Cardano
HIGH 24H
0.02
at 11:42 ET
LOW 24H
0.01
at 02:18 ET
CHANGE
+0.04
+7.0% on Cardano

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB
24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$4k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$209
Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live
TIMESIDEPRICESIZEVALUETRADER

Resolution rules

From Polymarket
https://www.coingecko.com/en/
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this market

Context

This is a market on the Market Cap comparison of two cryptocurrencies: Cardano ($ADA) and Solana ($SOL) for the resolution date and time of December 9, 2021, at 8:00 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be market cap ranking on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en). If, according to the resolution source, $ADA has a greater market cap than $SOL on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Cardano”. If $SOL has a greater market cap than $ADA on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Solana”. If the estimated market cap for the resolution date is exactly the same for both cryptocurrencies, this market will resolve 50/50. If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable at the resolution time, another credible source will be checked such as CoinMarketCap. In the event of an ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, historical market caps of each coin will be used (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cardano, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana), precisely the first recorded measurement after 8:00 PM. -------------- Market Cap = Current Price x Circulating Supply Refers to the total market value of a cryptocurrency’s circulating supply.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading
How is this market resolved?+
https://www.coingecko.com/en/
When does this market close?+
Trading closes at Dec 9, 2021 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
What are the possible outcomes?+
The possible outcomes are: Cardano (0%), Solana (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.