Prediction HFT
TECH
Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

MARKETS18
CLOSESDec 31, 2025 ยท 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$2.4M
MARKETS
18
LIQUIDITY
โ€”

Markets in this event

18 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$490k
VOL
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Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$425k
VOL
โ†’
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$388k
VOL
โ†’
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$266k
VOL
โ†’
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$196k
VOL
โ†’
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$195k
VOL
โ†’
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$175k
VOL
โ†’
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$147k
VOL
โ†’
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$91k
VOL
โ†’
Will Company D have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Company H have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Company A have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Company E have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will any other company have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Company B have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Company F have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Company C have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Company G have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
$0
VOL
โ†’

Event activity

Across all 18 markets
24H VOLUME
โ€”
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$2.4M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
โ€”
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2025 ยท 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 18 markets. Each market settles independently โ€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.