Prediction HFT
LIVE · TRADING OPENTECHEVENT IN 35D 8H
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

MARKETS19
CLOSESJun 30, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$195k
MARKETS
19
LIQUIDITY
$1.7M

Markets in this event

19 markets · sorted by volume
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$1.2M
VOL
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$1.0M
VOL
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$677k
VOL
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$593k
VOL
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$564k
VOL
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$475k
VOL
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$473k
VOL
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$468k
VOL
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$445k
VOL
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$379k
VOL
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$271k
VOL
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$243k
VOL
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$235k
VOL
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$234k
VOL
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$226k
VOL
Will Company G have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$0
VOL
Will any other company have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$0
VOL
Will Company F have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$0
VOL
Will Company H have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
$0
VOL

Event activity

Across all 19 markets
24H VOLUME
$195k
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$7.5M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$1.7M
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jun 30, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 19 markets. Each market settles independently — you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.