Prediction HFT
LIVE Β· TRADING OPENMUSICEVENT IN 219D 8H
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

MARKETS28
CLOSESDec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$450
MARKETS
28
LIQUIDITY
$15k

Markets in this event

28 markets Β· sorted by volume
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$40k
VOL
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Will Bad Bunny have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$30k
VOL
β†’
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$10k
VOL
β†’
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$9k
VOL
β†’
Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$9k
VOL
β†’
Will Playboi Carti have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$7k
VOL
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Will Harry Styles have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$7k
VOL
β†’
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$7k
VOL
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Will Drake have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$6k
VOL
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Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$5k
VOL
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Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$4k
VOL
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Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$2k
VOL
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Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$2k
VOL
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Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$2k
VOL
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Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$949
VOL
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Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$781
VOL
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Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$707
VOL
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Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$626
VOL
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Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$352
VOL
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Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$352
VOL
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Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$272
VOL
β†’
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$248
VOL
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Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$199
VOL
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Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$145
VOL
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Will Ariana Grande have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
$102
VOL
β†’
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
β€”
VOL
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Will Peso Pluma have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
β€”
VOL
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Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
β€”
VOL
β†’

Event activity

Across all 28 markets
24H VOLUME
$450
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$144k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$15k
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled β€œWeek of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled β€œWeek of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled β€œWeek of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 28 markets. Each market settles independently β€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.