What will the price of Terra ($LUNA) be at noon on November 19, 2021?

This is a scalar market on the price of cryptocurrency Terra ($LUNA) on November 19, 2021, at 12:00 PM ET. The lower bound for this market is $30, and the upper bound is $70. The resolution source for this market will be prices listed on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/terra-luna). This market will resolve on the “C” (i.e. the closing price) listed for the candle titled “Fri 19 November 2021, 12:00:00”, with the “Price” tab selected, in the Eastern Time Zone. Note, this 12:00:00 candle lists the opening price for 11:30:00 AM ET and the closing price for 12:00:00 PM ET. (To see the candlestick close price, click the candlestick icon, and observe the number after the “C:” when you hover over a candlestick for a given time period.) The resolution data will be checked at 12:25:00 PM ET, on November 19 2021, and - if unavailable then - for every 3 hours until it is. If CoinGecko is unavailable for the full day, another credible source will be chosen in good faith to resolve the market. You can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short Token price corresponds with the price of Terra ($LUNA). Long and Short shares will settle proportionally to the outcome value if the final value is between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Token is capped at $1 and $0.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.