Prediction HFT
ECONOMIC POLICY
What will Powell say during June Press Conference?

What will Powell say during June Press Conference?

MARKETS18
CLOSESJun 18, 2025 ยท 12:00 PM UTC
SOURCEyoutube.com
EVENT VOLUME
$5.5M
MARKETS
18
LIQUIDITY
โ€”

Markets in this event

18 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?
$3.6M
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
$306k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
$284k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Obvious" during June Press Conference?
$216k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?
$212k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?
$175k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during June Press Conference?
$170k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?
$161k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?
$84k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Summer" during June Press Conference?
$78k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?
$56k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?
$44k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Energy" during June Press Conference?
$27k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Volatile" during June Press Conference?
$24k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?
$20k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?
$18k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?
$15k
VOL
โ†’
Will Powell say "Comment" during June Press Conference?
$7k
VOL
โ†’

Event activity

Across all 18 markets
24H VOLUME
โ€”
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$5.5M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
โ€”
Available to trade

Resolution rules

Verbatim from Polymarket
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLI1V4kKFME
SOURCEyoutube.com
ORACLEUMA Optimistic
DISPUTE PERIOD2 hours

About this event

Context for traders

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 18, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by June 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLI1V4kKFME
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jun 18, 2025 ยท 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 18 markets. Each market settles independently โ€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.