LIVE Β· TRADING OPENCULTUREEVENT IN 66D 20H
What will happen before GTA VI?
Markets in this event
10 markets Β· sorted by volume
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes 49%No 52%
$11.5M
VOL
β
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49%No 51%
$4.4M
VOL
β
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes 51%No 50%
$1.8M
VOL
β
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes 100%No 0%
$1.7M
VOL
β
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes 74%No 27%
$756k
VOL
β
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes 53%No 47%
$736k
VOL
β
Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes 51%No 50%
$658k
VOL
β
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 66%No 35%
$629k
VOL
β
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes 100%No 0%
$185k
VOL
β
Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes 51%No 50%
$14k
VOL
β
Event activity
Across all 10 markets24H VOLUME
$141k
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$22.4M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$735k
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jul 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 PM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 10 markets. Each market settles independently β you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.