Prediction HFT
LIVE · TRADING OPENJEROME POWELLEVENT IN 174D 6H
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

MARKETS21
CLOSESDec 31, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$2k
MARKETS
21
LIQUIDITY
$174k

Markets in this event

21 markets · sorted by volume
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
$335k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
$291k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
$205k
VOL
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
$142k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
$127k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
$101k
VOL
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
$80k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
$78k
VOL
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
$78k
VOL
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
$50k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
$34k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?
$27k
VOL
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
$19k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
$19k
VOL
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
$17k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
$16k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
$10k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.5% or lower before 2027?
$9k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
$2k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
$2k
VOL
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?
$428
VOL

Event activity

Across all 21 markets
24H VOLUME
$2k
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$1.6M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$174k
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 21 markets. Each market settles independently — you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.