Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February?

The Starmer government has come under criticism for not investigating gangs notorious for committing sexual abuse in the United Kingdom over the last decade. You can read more about that here: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4xnv02nr0o This market will resolve to "Yes" if a UK government led by Keir Starmer formally announces a new national public inquiry specifically into these "grooming gangs" before January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the Starmer government actually begins the investigation within the market timeframe. If Starmer is out as UK Prime Minister for any length of time before such an announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Starmer and the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.