What are the odds of "Yes" for "$SLERF FDV below $200M by Friday?"?

Currently 0% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

What are the odds of "No" for "$SLERF FDV below $200M by Friday?"?

Currently 100% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

$SLERF FDV below $200M by Friday?

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

YES

PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY YES

100%

PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY NO

Price history

OPEN 24H

0.01

Yes

HIGH 24H

0.02

at 11:42 ET

LOW 24H

0.01

at 02:18 ET

CHANGE

+0.04

+7.0% on Yes

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB

24H VOLUME

—

Past 24 hours

TOTAL VOLUME

$4k

Since creation

LIQUIDITY

—

Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live

TIME	SIDE	PRICE	SIZE	VALUE	TRADER

About this market

Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FDV of SLERF dips below $200M for five consecutive minutes between March 18, 2024, 8:30 PM ET and March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute market cap candles for $SLERF available at https://dexscreener.com/solana/dtert17ayrmy2fg57r1b8xjhebhwfr4ejpzrws2xqqys, viewed by clicking MCap and 1m on the top row of the chart. Specifically, five consecutive 1-minute candles need to all have High prices below $200M for this market to resolve to “Yes.” If the five minute period starts at e.g. March 22, 11:58 PM ET to March 23, 12:02 AM ET, it will count for this market.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading

How is this market resolved?+

The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.

When does this market close?+

Trading closes at Mar 22, 2024 · 07:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.

What are the possible outcomes?+

The possible outcomes are: Yes (0%), No (100%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.

What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+

If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.

How do I trade on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.