Prediction HFT
LIVE Β· TRADING OPENAWARDSEVENT IN 137D 8H
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

MARKETS71
CLOSESOct 10, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$97k
MARKETS
71
LIQUIDITY
$1.6M

Markets in this event

71 markets Β· sorted by volume
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$3.5M
VOL
β†’
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$2.0M
VOL
β†’
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$1.2M
VOL
β†’
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$1.2M
VOL
β†’
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$1.0M
VOL
β†’
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$965k
VOL
β†’
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$875k
VOL
β†’
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$794k
VOL
β†’
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$783k
VOL
β†’
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$779k
VOL
β†’
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$770k
VOL
β†’
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$712k
VOL
β†’
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$623k
VOL
β†’
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$569k
VOL
β†’
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$557k
VOL
β†’
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$539k
VOL
β†’
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$515k
VOL
β†’
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$506k
VOL
β†’
Will AntΓ³nio Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$477k
VOL
β†’
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$173k
VOL
β†’
Will Person A win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person C win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person E win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person G win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person I win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person K win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person M win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person O win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person Q win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person S win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person U win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person W win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person Y win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AE win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AG win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AI win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AK win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AM win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AO win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AQ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AS win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AU win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AW win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will any other person or organization win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person B win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person D win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person F win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person H win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person J win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person L win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person N win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person P win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person R win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person T win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person V win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person X win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person Z win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AB win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AD win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AF win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AH win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AJ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AL win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AN win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AP win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AT win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’
Will Person AX win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
$0
VOL
β†’

Event activity

Across all 71 markets
24H VOLUME
$97k
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$18.5M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$1.6M
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Oct 10, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 71 markets. Each market settles independently β€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.