Prediction HFT
ELECTIONS
 New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?

New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?

MARKETS6
CLOSESNov 4, 2025 · 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$6.2M
MARKETS
6
LIQUIDITY

Markets in this event

6 markets · sorted by volume

Event activity

Across all 6 markets
24H VOLUME
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$6.2M
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Mikie Sherrill in the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Sherrill’s certified statewide vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Mikie Sherrill does not receive the most votes statewide in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the New Jersey Division of Elections (New Jersey Department of State). If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Nov 4, 2025 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 6 markets. Each market settles independently — you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.