
New Jersey Governor Election Mikie Sherrill margin of victory?
Markets in this event
6 markets · sorted by volume
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?Event activity
Across all 6 marketsAbout this event
Context for tradersThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Mikie Sherrill in the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Sherrill’s certified statewide vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Mikie Sherrill does not receive the most votes statewide in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the New Jersey Division of Elections (New Jersey Department of State). If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
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Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.