Netanyahu out by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any length of time between May 19, 2024, and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Netanyahu has remained Prime Minister of Israel for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.