YES
100%
PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY YES
| TIME | SIDE | PRICE | SIZE | VALUE | TRADER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" for Q1 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on April 30, 2025, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the "Advance Estimate" will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.
Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.