What are the odds of "Rousey" for " MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano"?

Currently 100% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

What are the odds of "Carano" for " MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano"?

Currently 0% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

ROUSEY

100%

PRICE $1.00 · IMPLIED 100%▸ BUY ROUSEY

CARANO

PRICE $0.00 · IMPLIED 0%▸ BUY CARANO

Price history

OPEN 24H

0.96

Rousey

HIGH 24H

0.99

at 11:42 ET

LOW 24H

0.93

at 02:18 ET

CHANGE

+0.04

+7.0% on Rousey

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB

24H VOLUME

—

Past 24 hours

TOTAL VOLUME

$299k

Since creation

LIQUIDITY

—

Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live

TIME	SIDE	PRICE	SIZE	VALUE	TRADER

About this market

Context

This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026. It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading

How is this market resolved?+

The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.

When does this market close?+

Trading closes at May 17, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.

What are the possible outcomes?+

The possible outcomes are: Rousey (100%), Carano (0%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.

What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+

If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.

How do I trade on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.