Prediction HFT
LIVE Β· TRADING OPENWORLDEVENT IN 174D 6H
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

MARKETS3
CLOSESDec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC
CONTRACT0xffbc…19d4
EVENT VOLUME
$121k
MARKETS
3
LIQUIDITY
$58k
CONTRACT
0xffbc…19d4

Markets in this event

3 markets Β· sorted by volume
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
$68k
VOL
β†’
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?
$39k
VOL
β†’
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
$14k
VOL
β†’

Event activity

Across all 3 markets
24H VOLUME
β€”
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$121k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$58k
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 3 markets. Each market settles independently β€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.