Prediction HFT
LIVE ยท TRADING OPENMIDDLE EASTEVENT IN 5D 8H
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

MARKETS44
CLOSESMay 31, 2026 ยท 12:00 AM UTC
EVENT VOLUME
$954
MARKETS
44
LIQUIDITY
$203k

Markets in this event

44 markets ยท sorted by volume
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$159k
VOL
โ†’
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$75k
VOL
โ†’
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$54k
VOL
โ†’
Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$48k
VOL
โ†’
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$45k
VOL
โ†’
Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$43k
VOL
โ†’
Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$24k
VOL
โ†’
Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$23k
VOL
โ†’
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$7k
VOL
โ†’
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$7k
VOL
โ†’
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$6k
VOL
โ†’
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$6k
VOL
โ†’
Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$5k
VOL
โ†’
Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$5k
VOL
โ†’
Will Lana โ€“ Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$5k
VOL
โ†’
Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$5k
VOL
โ†’
Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$5k
VOL
โ†’
Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$5k
VOL
โ†’
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$4k
VOL
โ†’
Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$4k
VOL
โ†’
Will Khatt Ahmar win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$4k
VOL
โ†’
Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$4k
VOL
โ†’
Will Independence Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$4k
VOL
โ†’
Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Other win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’
Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
$0
VOL
โ†’

Event activity

Across all 44 markets
24H VOLUME
$954
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$547k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$203k
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ€” you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at May 31, 2026 ยท 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 44 markets. Each market settles independently โ€” you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.