LIVE · TRADING OPENIPOSEVENT IN 219D 8H
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
Markets in this event
12 markets · sorted by volume
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 95%No 5%
$118k
VOL
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Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?Yes 0%No 100%
$77k
VOL
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Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in March 2026 (ET)?Yes 0%No 100%
$51k
VOL
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Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?Yes 0%No 100%
$38k
VOL
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Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?Yes 3%No 97%
$21k
VOL
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Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes 1%No 99%
$18k
VOL
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Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?Yes 0%No 100%
$13k
VOL
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Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Yes 0%No 100%
$13k
VOL
→
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes 0%No 100%
$13k
VOL
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Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Yes 1%No 99%
$11k
VOL
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Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes 0%No 100%
$8k
VOL
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Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in February 2026 (ET)?Yes 0%No 100%
$2k
VOL
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Event activity
Across all 12 markets24H VOLUME
$730
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$384k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$55k
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 12 markets. Each market settles independently — you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.