LIVE Β· TRADING OPENSPACEEVENT IN 219D 8H
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Markets in this event
7 markets Β· sorted by volume
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Yes 5%No 96%
$101k
VOL
β
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Yes 37%No 64%
$90k
VOL
β
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes 9%No 91%
$58k
VOL
β
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes 35%No 65%
$44k
VOL
β
Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?Yes 1%No 99%
$4k
VOL
β
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes 4%No 96%
$3k
VOL
β
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?Yes 1%No 99%
$2k
VOL
β
Event activity
Across all 7 markets24H VOLUME
$7
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$302k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$10k
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 7 markets. Each market settles independently β you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.