What are the odds of "Mayweather" for "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2"?

Currently 64% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

What are the odds of "Pacquiao" for "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2"?

Currently 37% probability according to Polymarket prediction market traders.

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Current odds

Live · updates every 20s

MAYWEATHER

64%

PRICE $0.64 · IMPLIED 64%▸ BUY MAYWEATHER

PACQUIAO

37%

PRICE $0.36 · IMPLIED 37%▸ BUY PACQUIAO

Price history

OPEN 24H

0.60

Mayweather

HIGH 24H

0.66

at 11:42 ET

LOW 24H

0.56

at 02:18 ET

CHANGE

+0.04

+7.0% on Mayweather

Market stats

Polymarket · CLOB

24H VOLUME

$201

Past 24 hours

TOTAL VOLUME

$64k

Since creation

LIQUIDITY

$70k

Available to trade

Recent trades

Last 10 fills · live

TIME	SIDE	PRICE	SIZE	VALUE	TRADER

About this market

Context

This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.

FAQ

Resolution & trading

How is this market resolved?+

The market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.

When does this market close?+

Trading closes at Sep 20, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.

What are the possible outcomes?+

The possible outcomes are: Mayweather (64%), Pacquiao (37%). Each contract pays out $1 if correct, $0 otherwise.

What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+

If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.

How do I trade on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price. All settlements are in USDC.