Fed rate cut by...?
Markets in this event
8 markets Β· sorted by volume
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Event activity
Across all 8 marketsAbout this event
Context for tradersThis market will resolve to βYesβ if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.