Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 12 May '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 13 May '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 12 May '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 13 May '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.