Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk announces he has resigned or will resign as head/co-head of the "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement from Elon that he is resigning will qualify, regardless of whether he actually resigns. If DOGE is created and Elon Musk is not it's head/co-head at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." If DOGE is not officially created by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Elon Musk or the Trump Administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.