Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?

Democratic and Republican Senate Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to “Dems” if the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary (total canvass votes in the primary) is greater than the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary. This market will resolve to “GOP” if the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary is greater than the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. If the first-round total vote count in both primaries is exactly equal, or the results of the either relevant election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders at your target price. All positions are settled in USDC when the market resolves.

Resolution

Markets resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. After the market closes, a proposer submits a resolution, followed by a 2-hour dispute window. If no dispute is raised, the resolution is accepted. Disputed markets go to UMA token holder vote.