What are the odds of "Yes" for "Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by April 30?"?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is banned from Kick by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Official announcements from Kick that Clavicular will be banned will qualify regardless of whether the ban has gone into effect. Temporary bans will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://kick.com/clavicular), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format

How are markets in this event resolved?+

Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.

When do these markets close?+

Trading closes at May 31, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.

How many markets are in this event?+

This event contains 2 markets. Each market settles independently — you can trade any or all of them.

What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+

If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.

How do I trade on Polymarket?+

You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.