ALL
Bitcoin price 1hr after ETF approval?
Markets in this event
7 markets ยท sorted by volume
Bitcoin ETF doesn't get approval by Jan 15?Yes 0%No 100%
$28k
VOL
โ
$BTC price <$40,000 1 hour after ETF approval?Yes 0%No 100%
$24k
VOL
โ
$BTC price >$50,000 1 hour after ETF approval?Yes 0%No 100%
$24k
VOL
โ
$BTC price between $42,500-45,000 1 hour after ETF approval?Yes 0%No 100%
$14k
VOL
โ
$BTC price between $47,500-50,000 1 hour after ETF approval?Yes 0%No 100%
$13k
VOL
โ
$BTC price between $45,000-47,500 1 hour after ETF approval?Yes 100%No 0%
$13k
VOL
โ
$BTC price between $40,000-42,500 1 hour after ETF approval?Yes 0%No 100%
$9k
VOL
โ
Event activity
Across all 7 markets24H VOLUME
$0
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$125k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$0
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersHow trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model โ you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jan 15, 2024 ยท 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 7 markets. Each market settles independently โ you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.