Prediction HFT
LIVE · TRADING OPENCLAUDE 5EVENT IN 35D 8H
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

MARKETS4
CLOSESJun 30, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
CONTRACT0x097e…b0fb
EVENT VOLUME
$64k
MARKETS
4
LIQUIDITY
$770
CONTRACT
0x097e…b0fb

Markets in this event

4 markets · sorted by volume
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$23k
VOL
→
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$17k
VOL
→
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$12k
VOL
→
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$12k
VOL
→

Event activity

Across all 4 markets
24H VOLUME
—
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$64k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$770
Available to trade

About this event

Context for traders

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How trading works

Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model — you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.

FAQ

Resolution & format
How are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Jun 30, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 4 markets. Each market settles independently — you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.