LIVE Β· TRADING OPENCULTUREEVENT IN 174D 6H
2nd richest person on December 31?
Markets in this event
37 markets Β· sorted by volume
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 63%No 37%
$21k
VOL
β
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 3%No 97%
$10k
VOL
β
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 43%No 57%
$7k
VOL
β
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 100%
$2k
VOL
β
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 25%No 75%
$1k
VOL
β
Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 1%No 99%
$1k
VOL
β
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 10%No 91%
$913
VOL
β
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 22%No 78%
$905
VOL
β
Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 5%No 95%
$896
VOL
β
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 19%No 81%
$592
VOL
β
Will Person J be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person L be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person N be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person P be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person Q be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person X be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person A be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person B be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person C be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person G be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person H be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person T be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person V be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person Y be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will another individual be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person E be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person F be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person K be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person M be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person O be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person R be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person U be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person Z be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person D be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person I be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person S be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Will Person W be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 0%No 0%
$0
VOL
β
Event activity
Across all 37 markets24H VOLUME
β
Past 24 hours
TOTAL VOLUME
$45k
Since creation
LIQUIDITY
$5k
Available to trade
About this event
Context for tradersThis market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
How trading works
Polymarket uses a central limit order book (CLOB) model β you can buy or sell shares of any outcome at the current market price, or place limit orders. Prices represent implied probability: a $0.65 contract means the market prices a 65% chance of that outcome.
FAQ
Resolution & formatHow are markets in this event resolved?+
Each market resolves based on the official outcome as verified by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.
When do these markets close?+
Trading closes at Dec 31, 2026 Β· 12:00 AM UTC. After close, the UMA oracle proposes a resolution and a 2-hour dispute window opens before final settlement.
How many markets are in this event?+
This event contains 37 markets. Each market settles independently β you can trade any or all of them.
What happens if the resolution source is unavailable?+
If the primary resolution source is unavailable, the market may be delayed or resolved by UMA oracle vote using credible alternative sources. Polymarket's optimistic oracle has final authority on disputed resolutions.
How do I trade on Polymarket?+
You need a Polymarket account (sign up with email or crypto wallet). Connect a Polygon-compatible wallet, fund it with USDC, and you can buy or sell shares of any outcome. All settlements are in USDC.